Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
14.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2549°N, 119.0441°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of April 2026
Apr 27, 2026 04:52:08 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
7.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
8.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.05
Predicted M2.05 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
17.2 km
Pred. 7.2 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
bfe7bdddb09c99c17fc79f5420b4b1ac775e0fe6fdb1a40fd28b2445083fe683
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_060346_pred-39.25--119.04-20260427T0452
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 13:03:49 PST
Source Batch
20260427_060346_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:10.035080+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.