Prediction Track Record
Validating our model with historical performance in California
Demonstrating accuracy and reliability for deployment anywhere
Historical Predictions Map
✓
True Positive (Accurate Prediction)
✗
False Alarm
Prediction Outcomes
| Date | Location | Forecasted Magnitude | Actual Result | EPS | Outcome |
|---|
Validation Criteria
A prediction is considered a "true positive" if the forecasted earthquake occurs within the specified 48-hour window, within a 50km radius of the predicted location, and within ±0.5 magnitude units of the forecasted value. These criteria align with standard seismological practices for earthquake prediction validation.