Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
3.0 miles South-West of Pearblossom
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.0 miles South-West of Pearblossom
34.4759°N, 117.9475°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 20:01:31 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
917h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
92.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
1.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.01
Predicted M3.21 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
10.4 km
Pred. 5.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e28c8202e2905f080c922f0045b2dbf5ceefde7b79f99e4ed30e7afd81bc82e1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_074934_pred-34.48--117.95-20260604T2001
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 14:49:37 PST
Source Batch
20260427_074934_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:11.398525+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.