Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
10.0 miles North-East of Ojai
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.0 miles North-East of Ojai
34.5315°N, 119.0993°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 16:47:25 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
913h 57m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
145.9 km
45.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
2.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.31
Predicted M3.51 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
10.4 km
Pred. 5.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
27335c02ef36b9df4ed93b3651773dbb3d46b8e3ee2a1e1a493bab28d4b3f303
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_074934_pred-34.53--119.10-20260604T1647
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 14:49:37 PST
Source Batch
20260427_074934_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:11.398525+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.