Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
143.1 miles South-West of San Simeon
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
143.1 miles South-West of San Simeon
34.4600°N, 123.2659°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 10:57:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
927h 40m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
302.3 km
202.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
38.4 h
2.4 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.67
Predicted M3.57 vs actual M2.9
Depth Error
13.0 km
Pred. 6.0 km vs actual 7.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b8dd1570a0ee8497f619e59bf102c4835e549c422ac8a5b0f1d2dede54c98b4e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_121653_pred-34.46--123.27-20260605T1057
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 19:16:56 PST
Source Batch
20260427_121653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:16.464058+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.