Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
10.9 miles North-East of Salinas
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.9 miles North-East of Salinas
36.8203°N, 121.5719°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 20:27:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1033h 10m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
41.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
16.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.82
Predicted M3.52 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
12.4 km
Pred. 7.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4e4cbf44e0d74596009ffd0a3af656c997bb6014b9b667193a9c6a9826fc5c64
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_121653_pred-36.82--121.57-20260609T2027
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 19:16:56 PST
Source Batch
20260427_121653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:16.464058+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.