Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
73.4 miles South-West of Lompoc
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
73.4 miles South-West of Lompoc
34.0949°N, 121.5631°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 20:27:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1028h 29m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
310.3 km
210.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
16.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.82
Predicted M3.52 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
12.4 km
Pred. 7.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
0182b123ba27e87a06a7bbbf0dff0684f4ea36ee5496e0bb0d2db388ce6eef3c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_165745_pred-34.09--121.56-20260609T2027
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 23:57:48 PST
Source Batch
20260427_165745_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:20.417164+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.