Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
3.3 miles South of Pearblossom
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.3 miles South of Pearblossom
34.4552°N, 117.9102°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 10:57:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
922h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
94.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
15.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.37
Predicted M3.57 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
11.0 km
Pred. 6.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
0431554edd6443ae946605f528cd2c23dc71f3707d9a06d696708145cd48e2ad
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_165745_pred-34.46--117.91-20260605T1057
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 23:57:48 PST
Source Batch
20260427_165745_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:20.417164+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.