Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
42.0 miles South-West of Eureka
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
42.0 miles South-West of Eureka
40.2959°N, 124.6073°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 04:08:57 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
916h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
28.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
10.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.73
Predicted M3.23 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
16.3 km
Pred. 6.0 km vs actual 10.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7a8e620945177b443f5268e19d7132ccec778ec5c7678027a008c404b8aaaf0e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_165745_pred-40.30--124.61-20260605T0408
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 23:57:48 PST
Source Batch
20260427_165745_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:20.417164+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.