Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
13.3 miles North-East of June Lake
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.3 miles North-East of June Lake
37.8932°N, 118.8781°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of May 2026
May 03, 2026 20:42:07 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
137h 39m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
46.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
9.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.06
Predicted M2.36 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
11.4 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 4.5 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e3a3cd9225cada29ccb93ad728ab92655bc4bfe28aa781079fe7473528bf9242
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_200222_pred-37.89--118.88-20260503T2042
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 03:02:25 PST
Source Batch
20260427_200222_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:22.894786+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.