Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
7.2 miles North of Cayucos
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.2 miles North of Cayucos
35.5458°N, 120.8608°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 21:20:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
928h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
200.2 km
100.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
22.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.03
Predicted M3.33 vs actual M3.3
Depth Error
33.4 km
Pred. 4.3 km vs actual 29.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
403818e51a566db43954f2e28f6aa37c5b87a37e079f3a640a0c88699c90f8fb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_214534_pred-35.55--120.86-20260605T2120
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 04:45:37 PST
Source Batch
20260427_214534_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:24.315465+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.