Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
10.3 miles East of Coso
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.3 miles East of Coso
36.0425°N, 117.6794°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of April 2026
Apr 28, 2026 09:53:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
0.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1h 53m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
28.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
58.0 h
22.0 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.23
Predicted M1.87 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
2.3 km
Pred. 0.3 km vs actual 2.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
80c01aa434e86974b61631d73b261fac4cf5af6f875e017f5e809d684f3f62b0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_010000_pred-36.04--117.68-20260428T0953
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 08:00:04 PST
Source Batch
20260428_010000_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:53.777077+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.