Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
5.4 miles North-West of Trinidad
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.4 miles North-West of Trinidad
41.1246°N, 124.1985°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of April 2026
Apr 29, 2026 19:58:15 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
35h 58m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
97.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
27.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.05
Predicted M2.05 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
11.9 km
Pred. 3.3 km vs actual 8.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3c6e09acf993d5466648b2d1e1b9192af040a949add063c2d2eb727846e11831
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_010000_pred-41.12--124.20-20260429T1958
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 08:00:04 PST
Source Batch
20260428_010000_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:53.777077+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.