Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
3.5 miles South-West of Mountain Center
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.5 miles South-West of Mountain Center
33.6909°N, 116.7519°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of June 2026
Jun 10, 2026 12:50:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1035h 7m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
54.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
20.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M3.38 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 10.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
42e6c284c3d9ca3bd3cd5aa17b39e051298eac57eb675947c92efe82f0c201b2
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_024314_pred-33.69--116.75-20260610T1250
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 09:43:17 PST
Source Batch
20260428_024314_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:55.192703+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.