Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
14.1 miles South-East of Harvard
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.1 miles South-East of Harvard
34.8198°N, 116.4320°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 08:02:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
934h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
174.9 km
74.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
35.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.30
Predicted M3.5 vs actual M3.8
Depth Error
16.2 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
0adde9ceddace5edbdc72bf044d32027e6199fc0ad4d0474c109610df9259dc4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_024314_pred-34.82--116.43-20260606T0802
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 09:43:17 PST
Source Batch
20260428_024314_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:55.192703+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.