Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
5.2 miles East of El Centro
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.2 miles East of El Centro
32.8039°N, 115.4746°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 08:02:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
926h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
49.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
21.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.10
Predicted M3.5 vs actual M2.4
- 0.10 over limit
Depth Error
16.2 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
db6c638c06322a4f32e52b4993c54f49d5a1fc3638a8de96c61eee8b5c1ff6c0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_101620_pred-32.80--115.47-20260606T0802
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 17:16:23 PST
Source Batch
20260428_101620_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:59.151216+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.