Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
5.2 miles North-East of Forest Falls
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.2 miles North-East of Forest Falls
34.1164°N, 116.8333°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of June 2026
Jun 10, 2026 12:50:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1027h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
36.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
20.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M3.38 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 10.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a93218b36f12e68aab9c54c6e639b4b393cbab82af86b0cec0a4091c864b32f9
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_101620_pred-34.12--116.83-20260610T1250
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 28, 2026 17:16:23 PST
Source Batch
20260428_101620_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:59.151216+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.