Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
5.9 miles East of Pine Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.9 miles East of Pine Valley
32.8039°N, 116.4296°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 08:02:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
919h 45m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
176.6 km
76.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.50
Predicted M3.5 vs actual M3.0
Depth Error
23.0 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 16.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9daab644ba476cf5fa537340ff2b9df04214eb2723c4f7b887f18a26b3105f3d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_171727_pred-32.80--116.43-20260606T0802
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 00:17:30 PST
Source Batch
20260428_171727_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:03.176299+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.