Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
9.7 miles East of Forest Falls
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.7 miles East of Forest Falls
34.1160°N, 116.7524°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of June 2026
Jun 10, 2026 12:50:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1020h 32m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
43.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
20.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M3.38 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 10.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
8447bc0a706c323f2295d02a486c78bdfe65ab094bcfcadbe08e92cd69a81db0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_171727_pred-34.12--116.75-20260610T1250
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 00:17:30 PST
Source Batch
20260428_171727_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:03.176299+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.