Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
9.1 miles West of Woody
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.1 miles West of Woody
35.6299°N, 118.9930°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of April 2026
Apr 29, 2026 15:12:13 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
14h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
98.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
28.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.28
Predicted M3.38 vs actual M2.1
- 0.28 over limit
Depth Error
4.9 km
Pred. 2.9 km vs actual 2.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
96228e4a4591606c11987f6214e8bc27976e8aed81105c9b89645c63d6904d40
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_171959_pred-35.63--118.99-20260429T1512
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 00:20:02 PST
Source Batch
20260428_171959_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:04.688717+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.