Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
6.2 miles North-East of Lake Wildwood
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.2 miles North-East of Lake Wildwood
39.3044°N, 121.1299°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of May 2026
May 01, 2026 02:17:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
42h 26m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
151.0 km
51.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
8.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.12
Predicted M2.22 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
6.5 km
Pred. 6.7 km vs actual 0.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c886ba5aae056983d213ac4e0bd00cddaa579abbe38e523d4519c38500897a2e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_005057_pred-39.30--121.13-20260501T0217
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 07:51:00 PST
Source Batch
20260429_005057_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:33.661807+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.