Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
11.2 miles North-East of Ojai
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.2 miles North-East of Ojai
34.5598°N, 119.0999°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 10:21:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
984h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
184.6 km
84.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
6.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M3.22 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
8.8 km
Pred. 3.8 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d6ec1c0aa8795d3ac7846e26ade343fae1db366d3de05da451fac3fa13f95ed4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_023519_pred-34.56--119.10-20260609T1021
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 09:35:22 PST
Source Batch
20260429_023519_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:35.020131+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.