Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
5326.8 miles North-East of Mesquite
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5326.8 miles North-East of Mesquite
34.8802°N, 13.6056°W
Forecast Time Window
22nd of May 2026
May 22, 2026 22:44:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
565h 9m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
285.1 km
185.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
3.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.78
Predicted M3.28 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
33.5 km
Pred. 3.6 km vs actual 30.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c46e8f6f2ea2d9f91d7c438183f7bb472afe260706c5f61d74ffe37f995f904b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_023519_pred-34.88--13.61-20260522T2244
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 09:35:22 PST
Source Batch
20260429_023519_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:35.020131+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.