Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
19.3 miles East of Pozo
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
19.3 miles East of Pozo
35.3228°N, 120.0403°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of May 2026
May 02, 2026 04:53:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
64h 12m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
42.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
36.1 h
0.1 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.20
Predicted M2.4 vs actual M2.6
Depth Error
7.3 km
Pred. 6.7 km vs actual 0.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ff45495463c4020b5b437b8e7d1380c953535ea9d02e217d359da7fb13b31e60
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_054117_pred-35.32--120.04-20260502T0453
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 12:41:20 PST
Source Batch
20260429_054117_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:37.594505+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.