Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
29.7 miles South-West of Daly City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
29.7 miles South-West of Daly City
37.3807°N, 122.8485°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of April 2026
Apr 29, 2026 17:02:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
4h 21m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
104.8 km
4.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
9.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.19
Predicted M2.39 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
24.5 km
Pred. 4.5 km vs actual 20.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
75a6e57df79a448d8f3bc4faee0e4262c0cbffa9e66889a54afe96161e989da7
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_054117_pred-37.38--122.85-20260429T1702
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 12:41:20 PST
Source Batch
20260429_054117_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:37.594505+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.