Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
4.8 miles West of Holtville
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.8 miles West of Holtville
32.8039°N, 115.4628°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 08:02:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
905h 37m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
49.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
21.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.10
Predicted M3.5 vs actual M2.4
- 0.10 over limit
Depth Error
16.2 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4ba77bd0a8bbbd56c4440ddc620ee976a523bdca75ea1d02a91a7026a37d810b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_072527_pred-32.80--115.46-20260606T0802
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 14:25:30 PST
Source Batch
20260429_072527_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:38.968288+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.