Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
90.7 miles South-West of La Jolla
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
90.7 miles South-West of La Jolla
32.1495°N, 118.6002°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of May 2026
May 01, 2026 16:49:45 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
47h 2m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
227.5 km
127.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
0.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M2.28 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
14.2 km
Pred. 3.9 km vs actual 10.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
aed8235c719e4ff918d3d94d4658b3311db87ebebf2ab4f6d67eb5f2e26dfca9
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_104707_pred-32.15--118.60-20260501T1649
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 17:47:10 PST
Source Batch
20260429_104707_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:41.547701+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.