Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
5321.3 miles North-East of Wendover
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5321.3 miles North-East of Wendover
40.2315°N, 4.1483°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of April 2026
Apr 30, 2026 20:47:56 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
27h 0m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
343.1 km
243.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
8.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.12
Predicted M2.82 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
8.9 km
Pred. 8.9 km vs actual 0.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6b2897f92e72b64c87903a30612ae42661a49f3b22aee6f97c7b96e6cee1c5e9
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_104707_pred-40.23--4.15-20260430T2047
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 17:47:10 PST
Source Batch
20260429_104707_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:41.547701+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.