Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
15.3 miles North-West of Ludlow
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
15.3 miles North-West of Ludlow
34.8201°N, 116.4019°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of May 2026
May 25, 2026 16:44:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
621h 21m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
88.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
11.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.88
Predicted M3.28 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
8.7 km
Pred. 9.0 km vs actual 0.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4d8d7b002395b0ac400c8bee93347ceec2c54071f1d812a81ecf40373f226104
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_122224_pred-34.82--116.40-20260525T1644
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 19:22:27 PST
Source Batch
20260429_122224_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:42.918844+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.