Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
7.6 miles North-West of Santa Margarita
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.6 miles North-West of Santa Margarita
35.4332°N, 120.7303°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of June 2026
Jun 08, 2026 03:45:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
944h 22m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
183.4 km
83.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
32.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.00
Predicted M3.3 vs actual M3.3
Depth Error
36.0 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 29.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
04b1051df95fd52f0eab5ec995c280c10377d14cbdafa335abc7e9f43099b735
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_122224_pred-35.43--120.73-20260608T0345
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 19:22:27 PST
Source Batch
20260429_122224_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:42.918844+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.