Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
3.9 miles West of Daly City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.9 miles West of Daly City
37.7025°N, 122.5387°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of June 2026
Jun 12, 2026 07:11:36 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1043h 49m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
57.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
10.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.64
Predicted M3.04 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
7.2 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 0.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
f118930f9e061d1e4f380d04ae709bcfc8f9e1409bffb55705e5b24b163fd4cb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_122224_pred-37.70--122.54-20260612T0711
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 19:22:27 PST
Source Batch
20260429_122224_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:42.918844+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.