Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
15.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
15.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2711°N, 119.0061°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 01:38:49 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
1.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
630h 16m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
8.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
58.2 h
22.2 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.50
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M3.7
Depth Error
13.2 km
Pred. 1.3 km vs actual 11.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3ac58ea933270a8a3e3e245d1e8b4cb05ddd37893dfa1baf42b2003c308a239e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_122224_pred-39.27--119.01-20260526T0138
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 19:22:27 PST
Source Batch
20260429_122224_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:42.918844+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.