Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
5260.2 miles North-East of Wendover
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5260.2 miles North-East of Wendover
39.3211°N, 6.7883°W
Forecast Time Window
18th of May 2026
May 18, 2026 05:58:53 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
442h 36m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
375.8 km
275.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
5.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.81
Predicted M3.21 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
10.7 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 3.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
030d8518f20a54e272597bd0f01441a9ea1e0e0b20036ac429e6f0cc6468491a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_122224_pred-39.32--6.79-20260518T0558
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 19:22:27 PST
Source Batch
20260429_122224_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:42.918844+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.