Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
12.3 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.3 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2507°N, 119.1080°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 11:05:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
634h 20m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
10.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
48.7 h
12.7 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M3.62 vs actual M3.7
Depth Error
18.0 km
Pred. 6.1 km vs actual 11.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3e8960f7ee1e82750854d2fb297c0ca0b9a0b0aa38ebbbc22b6ad27c9bd5947a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_174430_pred-39.25--119.11-20260526T1105
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 00:44:33 PST
Source Batch
20260429_174430_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:46.991643+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.