Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
2.8 miles North-West of Goffs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.8 miles North-West of Goffs
34.9459°N, 115.0956°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of May 2026
May 03, 2026 18:08:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
85h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
231.8 km
131.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.17 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
11.7 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 6.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
396faa593b471a4bcd701aa7d73fa91888d1e250e3c8ad5c18aa0e433487a7c4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_214832_pred-34.95--115.10-20260503T1808
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 04:48:35 PST
Source Batch
20260429_214832_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:49.562319+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.