Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
8.3 miles North-West of Indian Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.3 miles North-West of Indian Springs
36.6734°N, 115.7501°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of May 2026
May 03, 2026 16:58:31 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
84h 9m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
63.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M2.18 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
14.7 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 9.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
723d2a3ea6dd2fcbb24f8a517826d2eb9211c25e592ca8e75189ebe335ed792a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_214832_pred-36.67--115.75-20260503T1658
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 04:48:35 PST
Source Batch
20260429_214832_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:49.562319+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.