Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
3.1 miles North-West of Milford
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.1 miles North-West of Milford
40.2045°N, 120.4176°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of May 2026
May 03, 2026 16:34:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
83h 45m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
152.4 km
52.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
2.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.69
Predicted M2.01 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
12.3 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a4adbc61e47d5421bb2bd62890ef0cd323f8e52ed45c67c9205941692d0e5dda
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_214832_pred-40.20--120.42-20260503T1634
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 04:48:35 PST
Source Batch
20260429_214832_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:49.562319+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.