Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
9.6 miles North-East of Ojai
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.6 miles North-East of Ojai
34.5549°N, 119.1340°W
Forecast Time Window
14th of June 2026
Jun 14, 2026 16:49:28 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1090h 44m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
357.8 km
257.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
10.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.34
Predicted M3.74 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
13.0 km
Pred. 8.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
fe8c9d5e7eb6eda79bced1723b2bc99db7b01f21afb7bc6d4cbd92983d39fec1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230510_pred-34.55--119.13-20260614T1649
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:05:14 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230510_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:50.940545+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.