Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
12.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2672°N, 119.0671°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 03:11:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
621h 6m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
7.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
56.6 h
20.6 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.36
Predicted M3.34 vs actual M3.7
Depth Error
18.3 km
Pred. 6.4 km vs actual 11.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ef0b369b409bcca2d760cceef8b8209ac31287e8d130545bfcd8ed641143b076
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230510_pred-39.27--119.07-20260526T0311
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:05:14 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230510_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:50.940545+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.