Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
13.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3168°N, 119.0124°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of May 2026
May 28, 2026 02:57:35 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
668h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
3.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
8.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.69
Predicted M3.01 vs actual M3.7
Depth Error
18.1 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 11.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
64299ca5c80f44fc897e577587f47ad8a948f767eeb9fbace0e54fda79a90da6
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230510_pred-39.32--119.01-20260528T0257
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:05:14 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230510_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:50.940545+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.