Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
5.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3612°N, 119.1408°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 09:40:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
627h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
8.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
50.1 h
14.1 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M3.88 vs actual M3.7
Depth Error
17.6 km
Pred. 5.7 km vs actual 11.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3a29731dd61afa947428db616ecd2b84e0b0764c2310f3a190c38f5b7be76fad
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230510_pred-39.36--119.14-20260526T0940
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:05:14 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230510_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:50.940545+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.