Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
9.6 miles North-East of Ojai
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.6 miles North-East of Ojai
34.5549°N, 119.1340°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of May 2026
May 25, 2026 03:52:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
597h 44m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
83.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
23.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.94
Predicted M3.74 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
18.0 km
Pred. 8.0 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7d120199e9be508422dfb2e845f7988231246a9cbb08027b10ed47ce776aec76
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230754_pred-34.55--119.13-20260525T0352
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:07:57 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230754_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:52.367086+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.