Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
4.3 miles South-West of Weott
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.3 miles South-West of Weott
40.2755°N, 123.9784°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of May 2026
May 23, 2026 18:11:47 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
564h 3m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
88.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
47.2 h
11.2 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M3.62 vs actual M3.6
Depth Error
19.0 km
Pred. 9.0 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
102f47ff3dcfb6249d817818ec0f88877749ba39c5c06232f78a853c85f7d79f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260429_230754_pred-40.28--123.98-20260523T1811
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 06:07:57 PST
Source Batch
20260429_230754_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:52.367086+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.