Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
28.8 miles North of Gabbs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
28.8 miles North of Gabbs
39.2723°N, 117.7718°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of April 2026
Apr 30, 2026 07:08:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
115.1 km
15.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
4.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.12
Predicted M2.38 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
12.8 km
Pred. 4.7 km vs actual 8.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
8b87338885a4fb9672d565a86431b9d9222c648f481de7c95cced8603e2741e1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_024306_pred-39.27--117.77-20260430T0708
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 09:43:09 PST
Source Batch
20260430_024306_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:23.843768+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.