Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
2.7 miles South-West of Milford
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.7 miles South-West of Milford
40.1373°N, 120.3989°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of May 2026
May 04, 2026 01:42:42 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
87h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
146.4 km
46.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
7.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.10
Predicted M2.6 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
17.2 km
Pred. 9.7 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3a976554cee5c19427f02fa89d15e634beb918b094d2892b05ea409b8d3ead80
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_024306_pred-40.14--120.40-20260504T0142
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 09:43:09 PST
Source Batch
20260430_024306_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:23.843768+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.