Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.8
2.3 miles South-West of Lindsay
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.3 miles South-West of Lindsay
36.1736°N, 119.1079°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of June 2026
Jun 15, 2026 03:36:20 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1096h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
460.3 km
360.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
0.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.37
Predicted M3.77 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
10.8 km
Pred. 5.8 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
dcdc87810a7b9ef7ca2c6458d02d128ca7f30284df6cd3e863238e20c042634d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_040135_pred-36.17--119.11-20260615T0336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 11:01:38 PST
Source Batch
20260430_040135_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:25.304700+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.