Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
35.6 miles South-West of Coronado
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
35.6 miles South-West of Coronado
32.3780°N, 117.6728°W
Forecast Time Window
14th of June 2026
Jun 14, 2026 14:54:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1079h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
210.9 km
110.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
12.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.31
Predicted M3.09 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
10.9 km
Pred. 5.9 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
f1222a886177ea9aabe20191f310fefa4b6860caf7b4bb340f2e0b70588a41a6
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_083522_pred-32.38--117.67-20260614T1454
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 15:35:25 PST
Source Batch
20260430_083522_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:29.163034+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.