Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M4.0
1.2 miles North-East of Lake of the Woods
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.2 miles North-East of Lake of the Woods
34.8295°N, 118.9855°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of May 2026
May 27, 2026 05:23:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
637h 1m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
451.5 km
351.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
7.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.63
Predicted M4.03 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
29.8 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 20.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
615768e20ca20bfdb42f5eaf3708003765fbcb5d3fd4b894a9fc0031a1e3a288
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_092129_pred-34.83--118.99-20260527T0523
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 16:21:33 PST
Source Batch
20260430_092129_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:30.598525+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.