Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
9.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3087°N, 119.1041°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 01:05:15 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
608h 43m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
71.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.04
Predicted M3.04 vs actual M2.0
- 0.04 over limit
Depth Error
17.9 km
Pred. 5.9 km vs actual 12.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
18a5963ad00b21ee717c28711e679d4c86be3f8e8fa639d9c3fb31a0390fc1f2
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_092129_pred-39.31--119.10-20260526T0105
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 16:21:33 PST
Source Batch
20260430_092129_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:30.598525+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.