Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
10.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3173°N, 119.0678°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of May 2026
May 25, 2026 10:24:58 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
594h 3m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
0.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
29.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.20
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M2.0
- 0.20 over limit
Depth Error
18.1 km
Pred. 9.4 km vs actual 8.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
385de4a3ca65a5b9c6d0cb4ea06998a60f580272841617e990eeb26818061166
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260430_092129_pred-39.32--119.07-20260525T1024
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 30, 2026 16:21:33 PST
Source Batch
20260430_092129_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:30.598525+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.